Apertura Argentina Argentine league Round 15

Boca Juniors vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis

Boca Juniors Arsenal de Sarandí
81 ELO 77
12.3% Tilt 1.7%
252º General ELO ranking 529º
15º Country ELO ranking 53º
ELO win probability
55.6%
Boca Juniors
23.2%
Draw
21.2%
Arsenal de Sarandí

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
Boca Juniors
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.2%
Win probability
Arsenal de Sarandí
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boca Juniors
+4%
-11%
Arsenal de Sarandí

ELO progression

Boca Juniors
Arsenal de Sarandí
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2010
RIV
River Plate
1 - 0
Boca Juniors
BOC
43%
26%
31%
81 78 3 0
07 Nov. 2010
BOC
Boca Juniors
0 - 2
Argentinos Juniors
ARG
52%
23%
25%
81 81 0 0
24 Oct. 2010
IND
Independiente
0 - 0
Boca Juniors
BOC
43%
26%
31%
81 80 1 0
17 Oct. 2010
BOC
Boca Juniors
2 - 0
CA Huracán
HUR
65%
20%
14%
81 74 7 0
11 Oct. 2010
TIG
Tigre
1 - 2
Boca Juniors
BOC
33%
27%
40%
81 75 6 0

Matches

Arsenal de Sarandí
Arsenal de Sarandí
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Nov. 2010
ARS
Arsenal de Sarandí
0 - 0
All Boys
ALB
51%
26%
23%
78 75 3 0
06 Nov. 2010
RAC
Racing Club
2 - 2
Arsenal de Sarandí
ARS
42%
27%
31%
78 78 0 0
23 Oct. 2010
ARS
Arsenal de Sarandí
1 - 3
Godoy Cruz
GOD
38%
28%
34%
78 81 3 0
16 Oct. 2010
GLP
Gimnasia La Plata
2 - 3
Arsenal de Sarandí
ARS
35%
27%
38%
78 73 5 0
09 Oct. 2010
ARS
Arsenal de Sarandí
1 - 0
Banfield
BAN
38%
29%
33%
77 83 6 +1