Bella Vista vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
BVS
0 - 1
CER
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
BVS
0 - 2
RIV
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
MWA
1 - 2
BVS
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
BVS
0 - 1
FEN
45%
25%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
BVS
1 - 4
PEÑ
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2002 |
VEL
0 - 1
NAC
39%
25%
37%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
PRO
2 - 4
NAC
22%
25%
53%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2002 |
MOR
4 - 2
NAC
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 1
CER
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
NAC
3 - 1
CSY
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |