CA Atlas vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Atlas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 1
CAA
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
CAA
1 - 1
RPI
40%
27%
33%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LAM
1 - 1
CAA
28%
26%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CAA
1 - 0
BER
36%
25%
40%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
ARM
2 - 0
CAA
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
EXC
14%
21%
65%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
4 - 1
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
MID
16%
22%
62%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ESP
3 - 1
POR
78%
16%
6%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
CCO
22%
26%
51%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |