CA Atlas vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Atlas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ITU
5 - 3
CAA
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CAA
0 - 2
YUP
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CBA
2 - 4
CAA
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CAA
3 - 1
CLA
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
DPA
0 - 0
CAA
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 1
MID
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ITU
0 - 2
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 1
RIE
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
YUP
1 - 1
LUG
22%
26%
53%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 1
UAI
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |