Vila Cortez vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Cortez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BMA
3 - 0
VCO
91%
7%
2%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 3
SAO
8%
15%
77%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 6
ANA
7%
14%
79%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 1
SAN
9%
16%
75%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
RDA
1 - 0
VCO
82%
13%
6%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 2
VAL
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ANA
1 - 0
LUS
69%
21%
10%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 0
LUS
66%
19%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 0
ESP
16%
22%
62%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +4 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
LUS
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |