Vila Cortez vs Anadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
70.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Cortez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
VCO
49%
21%
30%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 3
CAN
9%
18%
74%
|
11 | 40 | 29 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
VAL
8 - 0
VCO
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ANA
7 - 0
VCO
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LUS
4 - 2
VCO
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Anadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 2
VIL
19%
23%
58%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
0 - 1
ANA
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 3
BRA
14%
21%
65%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 2
ANA
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ANA
0 - 2
VAR
26%
26%
47%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |