Mérida UD vs Cerro de Reyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
MOR
0 - 3
MER
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
MER
2 - 2
VAL
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
CDZ
2 - 1
MER
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
MER
2 - 0
SNV
78%
15%
8%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
MER
4 - 0
PLA
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro de Reyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
CER
2 - 2
EXT
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
CAS
1 - 2
CER
19%
24%
57%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
CER
1 - 1
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
COR
2 - 0
CER
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
CER
2 - 2
BAD
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |