SCD Durango vs Leioa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ALA
0 - 1
CDU
39%
28%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
CDU
0 - 1
GER
35%
27%
38%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
ORD
1 - 0
CDU
17%
22%
60%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
AMU
2 - 0
CDU
57%
24%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
CDU
1 - 1
SNT
68%
20%
12%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
LEI
36%
26%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
LEI
0 - 2
SDA
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Dec. 2008 |
LEI
0 - 1
BEA
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
LAU
1 - 1
LEI
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
LEI
1 - 2
POR
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |