SCD Durango vs CD Hernani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ZAR
1 - 2
CDU
13%
20%
67%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CDU
2 - 2
ZAM
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LEI
3 - 1
CDU
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CDU
1 - 0
EIB
70%
19%
12%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CDV
1 - 1
CDU
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD Hernani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
HER
0 - 2
ZAL
41%
24%
36%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
HER
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ZAR
0 - 1
HER
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
ZAM
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LEI
1 - 0
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |