SCD Durango vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
BAS
0 - 0
CDU
60%
23%
18%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
CDU
2 - 0
LEM
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
AUR
1 - 1
CDU
55%
25%
20%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
BKE
0 - 0
CDU
39%
28%
33%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
CDU
2 - 1
LON
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
GER
4 - 0
BKE
44%
28%
28%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
LON
2 - 0
GER
54%
25%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
GER
1 - 0
ZOR
55%
26%
19%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
DEU
3 - 2
GER
73%
18%
10%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
GER
1 - 0
ALA
41%
27%
31%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |