SCD Durango vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
52.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
ROB
0 - 0
CDU
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
PON
3 - 0
CDU
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
BAR
1 - 0
CDU
68%
21%
11%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
CDU
0 - 2
UPL
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
CDU
0 - 0
PON
26%
32%
42%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
ATH
1 - 1
CDO
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
ROB
1 - 4
ATH
27%
28%
46%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
ATH
2 - 2
BAR
77%
15%
7%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
UPL
1 - 2
ATH
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
ATH
3 - 2
PON
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |