Tercera Division IV - Basque Country Round 5

SCD Durango vs Ariznabarra analysis

SCD Durango Ariznabarra
27 ELO 22
-6% Tilt -19.9%
7819º General ELO ranking 8558º
377º Country ELO ranking 450º
ELO win probability
65%
SCD Durango
18.7%
Draw
16.3%
Ariznabarra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
SCD Durango
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.3%
Win probability
Ariznabarra
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SCD Durango
+8%
+9%
Ariznabarra

ELO progression

SCD Durango
Ariznabarra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SCD Durango
SCD Durango
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2020
SOD
Sodupe
0 - 2
SCD Durango
CDU
61%
21%
18%
26 30 4 0
24 Oct. 2020
CDU
SCD Durango
2 - 2
Anaitasuna FT
AFT
46%
23%
31%
26 26 0 0
17 Oct. 2020
PAS
Pasaia KE
1 - 1
SCD Durango
CDU
65%
21%
15%
26 35 9 0
23 Sep. 2020
CDU
SCD Durango
1 - 1
Leioa
LEI
12%
20%
68%
25 49 24 +1
12 Sep. 2020
BFC
Balmaseda FC
0 - 0
SCD Durango
CDU
49%
25%
27%
25 27 2 0

Matches

Ariznabarra
Ariznabarra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2020
ARI
Ariznabarra
1 - 3
Sodupe
SOD
31%
25%
44%
22 29 7 0
31 Oct. 2020
AFT
Anaitasuna FT
1 - 2
Ariznabarra
ARI
55%
22%
23%
21 26 5 +1
24 Oct. 2020
ARI
Ariznabarra
1 - 1
Pasaia KE
PAS
20%
24%
56%
21 34 13 0
17 Oct. 2020
SAN
San Ignacio
1 - 1
Ariznabarra
ARI
74%
15%
10%
20 33 13 +1
07 Mar. 2020
JUV
JD Somorrostro
3 - 0
Ariznabarra
ARI
80%
13%
7%
20 36 16 0