C.D. Zarza vs Atlético Cruceño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
+228%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Zarza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
TRI
0 - 2
CDZ
40%
25%
36%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CDZ
3 - 2
NER
68%
19%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CDR
1 - 1
CDZ
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CDZ
6 - 0
BEA
54%
23%
24%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
REP
3 - 2
CDZ
58%
21%
22%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Cruceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CRU
4 - 0
ROS
53%
22%
24%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SOL
3 - 2
CRU
17%
20%
63%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CRU
2 - 2
TRI
48%
23%
29%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
NER
0 - 1
CRU
19%
22%
59%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CRU
2 - 2
CDR
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |