CD Cerreño vs Nerva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Cerreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CDH
2 - 3
CDC
9%
17%
73%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ARO
0 - 4
CDC
14%
19%
68%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CDR
0 - 2
CDC
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CDC
2 - 1
CDE
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
4 - 2
CDC
22%
23%
55%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NER
0 - 4
CDE
19%
20%
61%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
NER
69%
18%
13%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NER
3 - 2
RIO
29%
23%
48%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UDA
3 - 0
NER
54%
22%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NER
0 - 2
REP
18%
21%
61%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |