BYU Cougars vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BYU Cougars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
SEA
2 - 1
BYU
55%
23%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
OCP
0 - 2
BYU
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
BYU
1 - 1
FRE
17%
21%
61%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
BYU
0 - 0
GSM
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
BYU
2 - 0
OCP
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 0
FRE
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 0
OCP
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 0
SEA
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
OCP
0 - 1
TUC
19%
23%
59%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
TUC
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |