FC BW Friesdorf vs Alfter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SVD
2 - 5
BWF
61%
19%
21%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
H05
1 - 0
BWF
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
BWF
4 - 2
VFL
61%
18%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BWF
3 - 6
DUR
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BER
2 - 0
BWF
55%
21%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 0
H05
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
VFL
0 - 1
ALT
41%
22%
37%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
MER
3 - 1
ALT
43%
23%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
DUR
5 - 2
ALT
47%
21%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 4
BER
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |