Buxton vs Warrington Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
WHI
4 - 2
BUX
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
BUX
1 - 3
RFC
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HAL
2 - 4
BUX
26%
26%
48%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
BUX
1 - 0
MIC
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 1
BUX
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Warrington Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
WAR
2 - 0
SKE
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
COR
0 - 0
WAR
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
ASH
2 - 1
WAR
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
HED
1 - 0
WAR
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
FRI
0 - 3
WAR
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |