Buxton vs Barwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
BUX
0 - 3
GRA
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BUX
3 - 3
FAR
45%
23%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 1
BUX
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
BUX
1 - 2
RUS
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BUX
1 - 2
CLE
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ASH
1 - 1
BAR
65%
19%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
MIL
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
HED
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
RFC
1 - 0
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |