Busto 81 vs Olimpia Calcio 2002 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busto 81
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
BUS
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BUS
0 - 2
RON
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BUS
0 - 0
MAS
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 2
BUS
49%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia Calcio 2002
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
MAS
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
OLI
62%
20%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 1
BAS
77%
15%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 0
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |