Bustelo vs Alba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 2
BUS
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BUS
2 - 0
OLI
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 2
BUS
14%
20%
67%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BUS
3 - 1
AVA
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
BUS
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Alba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 0
ACV
16%
23%
61%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 1
PEN
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 2
ALB
26%
24%
50%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
3 - 0
OLI
37%
24%
38%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 2
ALB
14%
20%
66%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | +1 |