Bury vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
33.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
BCF
2 - 2
NOT
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BOU
1 - 2
BCF
52%
24%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LEY
1 - 0
BCF
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BCF
2 - 0
EXE
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
YEO
1 - 3
BCF
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 1
STE
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
STE
0 - 0
YEO
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
STE
1 - 0
CHA
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
HUR
2 - 1
STE
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 2
STE
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |