Bury vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
BCF
1 - 3
CHE
40%
29%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
MKD
2 - 1
BCF
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
NOT
2 - 2
BCF
46%
27%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
BCF
0 - 0
MAN
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
DAR
2 - 3
BCF
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 1
STF
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
STF
2 - 2
MAN
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 1
STF
44%
27%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
STF
0 - 1
LIN
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
STO
3 - 1
STF
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |