Bury vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
LUT
1 - 1
BCF
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 2
BCF
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
BOL
3 - 2
BCF
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BCF
0 - 1
CHE
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
RAM
0 - 0
BCF
28%
23%
49%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
PLY
1 - 1
STE
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PLY
3 - 0
EXE
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
PLY
3 - 3
LEY
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 0
PLY
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
PLY
0 - 4
SWA
11%
20%
69%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |