Bury vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 3
BCF
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
BCF
0 - 2
BUR
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
BCF
1 - 0
BRE
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
STA
0 - 2
BCF
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
BCF
1 - 1
ROC
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 3
ROT
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
NTT
4 - 0
MOR
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
WYC
1 - 1
MOR
50%
26%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
MKD
1 - 1
MOR
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 2
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |