Bury vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
51.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
BCF
0 - 2
CHE
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BCF
3 - 2
YEO
23%
26%
52%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 1
BCF
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BCF
2 - 1
SCU
42%
26%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BCF
0 - 1
OLD
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
CRE
3 - 3
ROT
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CRE
2 - 0
WAL
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
CRE
1 - 0
SHE
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
YEO
1 - 0
CRE
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
SWI
4 - 1
CRE
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |