Bury vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 3
BCF
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 0
BCF
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BCF
1 - 1
DAG
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
GUL
2 - 1
BCF
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 0
BCF
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BRO
1 - 0
MOR
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
FLE
3 - 1
BRO
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
BRO
0 - 0
SOU
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
HAR
4 - 0
BRO
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
BRO
1 - 2
DAG
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |