Bury Town vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
KIN
1 - 1
BUR
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 1
LEW
65%
21%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 1
MAR
63%
21%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
BUR
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 2
HAR
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
WEA
3 - 0
HOR
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BIL
2 - 2
HOR
75%
17%
9%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 3
AVE
52%
23%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
HOR
2 - 0
TOO
22%
22%
56%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MET
4 - 1
HOR
80%
14%
6%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |