Bury Town vs Hertford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 0
BUR
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
BUR
0 - 1
DER
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 2
BUR
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BUR
0 - 0
AVE
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 2
BUR
26%
22%
53%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hertford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HER
2 - 1
WAR
26%
20%
54%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
HER
1 - 0
GRA
27%
21%
53%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
HER
1 - 2
HOR
13%
17%
71%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
HER
0 - 4
WAL
42%
21%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BOW
1 - 1
HER
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |