Bury Town vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+114%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
BUR
26%
25%
50%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
BUR
0 - 0
BRO
74%
17%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 2
BUR
17%
22%
61%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
AYL
1 - 2
BUR
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
STO
1 - 1
BUR
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
AYL
0 - 3
YEL
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
YEL
1 - 1
ROM
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
YEL
2 - 1
BED
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
CHA
3 - 1
YEL
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
YEL
1 - 1
LEI
46%
25%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |