Burton Albion vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
DAG
1 - 1
BUR
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 0
CRA
16%
25%
60%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 0
GIL
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
4 - 0
BUR
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 1
NOR
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
SWI
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
OXF
1 - 2
MOR
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
STF
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
STA
1 - 1
MOR
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |