League Two Round 18

Burton Albion vs Luton Town analysis

Burton Albion Luton Town
58 ELO 64
-6.6% Tilt 0.2%
2863º General ELO ranking 943º
74º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
33.5%
Burton Albion
28.2%
Draw
38.3%
Luton Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
Burton Albion
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
38.3%
Win probability
Luton Town
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Burton Albion
-5%
+3%
Luton Town

ELO progression

Burton Albion
Luton Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Burton Albion
Burton Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2014
WYC
Wycombe Wanderers
1 - 3
Burton Albion
BUR
49%
26%
25%
57 59 2 0
08 Nov. 2014
BAR
Barnsley
5 - 0
Burton Albion
BUR
55%
23%
22%
58 61 3 -1
01 Nov. 2014
BUR
Burton Albion
1 - 1
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
45%
27%
28%
58 59 1 0
25 Oct. 2014
STE
Stevenage
1 - 0
Burton Albion
BUR
39%
26%
36%
59 54 5 -1
21 Oct. 2014
CUM
Carlisle United
3 - 4
Burton Albion
BUR
43%
25%
32%
58 53 5 +1

Matches

Luton Town
Luton Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 2014
LUT
Luton Town
1 - 0
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
72%
18%
10%
64 52 12 0
08 Nov. 2014
LUT
Luton Town
4 - 2
Newport County
NEW
60%
22%
18%
63 57 6 +1
01 Nov. 2014
EXE
Exeter City
1 - 1
Luton Town
LUT
30%
28%
41%
64 56 8 -1
25 Oct. 2014
LUT
Luton Town
1 - 0
Northampton
NOR
65%
21%
14%
63 56 7 +1
21 Oct. 2014
LUT
Luton Town
3 - 1
Dagenham & Redbridge
DAG
70%
19%
11%
63 52 11 0