Burscough vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burscough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 0
BUR
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
BUR
2 - 2
WHI
56%
22%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BUR
1 - 2
ASH
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
BUX
2 - 2
BUR
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BUR
3 - 0
WOR
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
DUR
0 - 7
BUX
25%
23%
51%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
UNM
0 - 1
BUX
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BUX
0 - 1
STO
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
BUX
2 - 2
BUR
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BUX
1 - 0
HED
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |