Burscough vs Blyth Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burscough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
LIN
2 - 3
BUR
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
BUR
3 - 2
GAT
58%
21%
22%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
BAM
2 - 3
BUR
22%
23%
56%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
GUI
3 - 1
BUR
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2005 |
BUR
5 - 3
OSS
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Blyth Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
BAM
1 - 3
BLY
25%
25%
51%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2005 |
BLY
0 - 2
PRE
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
BLY
5 - 1
BRI
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
WIT
2 - 2
BLY
54%
24%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2005 |
BLY
2 - 0
GAT
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |