Bursa Merinosspor vs Alanyaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bursa Merinosspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
BUC
2 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 1
OYA
60%
20%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
GOZ
2 - 2
BUR
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
BUR
3 - 0
CSP
59%
22%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
KUC
0 - 1
BUR
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Alanyaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ALA
3 - 1
IZM
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
INE
1 - 2
ALA
48%
26%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ALA
2 - 4
PEN
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 2
ALA
59%
23%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ALA
7 - 0
NAZ
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +3 |