East Scotland League Round 10

Burntisland Shipyard vs Heriot-Watt analysis

Burntisland Shipyard Heriot-Watt
19 ELO 32
4.4% Tilt 18.7%
15013º General ELO ranking 31478º
124º Country ELO ranking 203º
ELO win probability
9.9%
Burntisland Shipyard
14.8%
Draw
75.4%
Heriot-Watt

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
Burntisland Shipyard
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
75.4%
Win probability
Heriot-Watt
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Burntisland Shipyard
-15%
-10%
Heriot-Watt

ELO progression

Burntisland Shipyard
Heriot-Watt
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Burntisland Shipyard
Burntisland Shipyard
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2016
PEE
Peebles Rovers
4 - 0
Burntisland Shipyard
BUR
76%
14%
10%
17 26 9 0
10 Dec. 2016
LOT
Lothian Hutchison
6 - 1
Burntisland Shipyard
BUR
92%
6%
2%
17 46 29 0
19 Nov. 2016
ORM
Ormiston
4 - 0
Burntisland Shipyard
BUR
79%
12%
9%
18 27 9 -1
05 Nov. 2016
BUR
Burntisland Shipyard
2 - 2
Coldstream
COL
18%
17%
65%
18 25 7 0
29 Oct. 2016
HER
Heriot-Watt
9 - 0
Burntisland Shipyard
BUR
88%
8%
4%
19 36 17 -1

Matches

Heriot-Watt
Heriot-Watt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2017
HER
Heriot-Watt
4 - 2
Stirling University II
STI
63%
19%
19%
31 28 3 0
10 Dec. 2016
HER
Heriot-Watt
3 - 0
Eyemouth United
EYE
78%
13%
9%
33 24 9 -2
19 Nov. 2016
HER
Heriot-Watt
2 - 3
Coldstream
COL
76%
14%
10%
35 24 11 -2
05 Nov. 2016
LEI
Leith Athletic
2 - 1
Heriot-Watt
HER
72%
17%
12%
35 45 10 0
29 Oct. 2016
HER
Heriot-Watt
9 - 0
Burntisland Shipyard
BUR
88%
8%
4%
36 19 17 -1