Burnley vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
BRE
0 - 3
BUR
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
CRY
1 - 1
BUR
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2003 |
BUR
4 - 0
GRI
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
BUR
1 - 1
IPS
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
GRI
2 - 2
BUR
34%
25%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2003 |
REA
1 - 3
LEI
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
REA
0 - 0
WAL
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2003 |
REA
1 - 1
WAL
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
SHW
3 - 2
REA
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
WAL
0 - 0
REA
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |