Burnley vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
GIL
2 - 2
BUR
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
WRE
0 - 1
BUR
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2000 |
BUR
0 - 2
LUT
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
BUR
0 - 3
PNE
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
COL
1 - 2
BUR
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
REA
1 - 0
BRE
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2000 |
OXF
1 - 3
REA
32%
25%
44%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
REA
2 - 0
BOU
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
CHE
2 - 0
REA
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
SCU
2 - 2
REA
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |