Burnley vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
BRA
2 - 1
BUR
54%
22%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
BUR
3 - 2
BPO
35%
22%
43%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
SOU
2 - 1
BUR
60%
20%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1933 |
BUR
2 - 1
FUL
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1933 |
BRE
5 - 2
BUR
61%
19%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
POR
2 - 0
OLD
65%
19%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
PNE
0 - 0
POR
64%
17%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
POR
3 - 1
BRA
56%
20%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1933 |
MIL
0 - 3
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1933 |
POR
1 - 0
SWA
65%
20%
16%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |