Burnley vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
IPS
2 - 0
BUR
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 2
BIR
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
BUR
21%
23%
57%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LEE
1 - 1
BUR
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 2
BUR
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 4
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 4
OXF
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 2
IPS
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 1
BRE
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
LUT
2 - 1
BRE
25%
24%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |