Burnham vs Paulton Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
BUR
2 - 4
RED
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BUR
4 - 1
CHI
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DID
2 - 1
BUR
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
POO
0 - 0
BUR
44%
24%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BEA
2 - 4
BUR
37%
24%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Paulton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
FLE
2 - 2
PAU
10%
18%
72%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
PAU
4 - 1
BIS
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BIS
1 - 4
PAU
23%
24%
52%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
BRI
2 - 0
PAU
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PAU
5 - 2
MER
44%
24%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |