FA Trophy . 1/256
Global 0-4
Burnham vs Brackley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BUR
0 - 3
AYL
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 2
BUR
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BUR
1 - 1
NOR
66%
21%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BUR
2 - 1
BIG
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
BUR
1 - 1
BET
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
LEA
2 - 1
BRA
51%
22%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 0
HED
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
CIR
0 - 3
BRA
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
OXF
0 - 2
BRA
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 0
STO
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |