Liga 1 Ontario Normal Season Round 4

Burlington vs Scrosoppi FC analysis

Burlington Scrosoppi FC
39 ELO 47
5.1% Tilt 10.7%
22534º General ELO ranking 4603º
38º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
43.1%
Burlington
23.6%
Draw
33.2%
Scrosoppi FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
Burlington
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.2%
Win probability
Scrosoppi FC
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Burlington
-31%
+89%
Scrosoppi FC

Points and table prediction

Burlington
Their league position
Scrosoppi FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
46
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Scrosoppi FC
46
53
98%
Vaughan Azzurri
46
49
98%
Woodbridge Strikers
35
35
100%
Simcoe County Rovers
34
34
0%
North Toronto Nitros
34
34
5%
Blue Devils
30
30
39.5%
Burlington
29
30
34.5%
Alliance United
28
29
45.5%
Sigma FC
10º
24
27
69.5%
ProStars
25
25
10º
69.5%
Guelph United
11º
15
18
11º
100%
Hamilton United
12º
4
4
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Burlington
Scrosoppi FC
Next round
0% 100%
Play-offs
25.5% 0%
Mid-table
74.5% 0%

ELO progression

Burlington
Scrosoppi FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Burlington
Burlington
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2024
BUR
Burlington
1 - 2
Woodbridge Strikers
WOO
55%
22%
23%
42 41 1 0
22 Jun. 2024
BUR
Burlington
1 - 1
Hamilton United
HAM
76%
14%
10%
42 30 12 0
16 Jun. 2024
OBD
Blue Devils
2 - 0
Burlington
BUR
40%
23%
37%
44 40 4 -2
09 Jun. 2024
BUR
Burlington
1 - 2
Vaughan Azzurri
VAZ
41%
23%
36%
45 49 4 -1
01 Jun. 2024
BUR
Burlington
3 - 1
ProStars
PRO
80%
12%
8%
45 27 18 0

Matches

Scrosoppi FC
Scrosoppi FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jun. 2024
PRO
ProStars
2 - 1
Scrosoppi FC
SCR
23%
23%
54%
47 29 18 0
23 Jun. 2024
SCR
Scrosoppi FC
0 - 0
Vaughan Azzurri
VAZ
43%
23%
34%
47 49 2 0
16 Jun. 2024
HAM
Hamilton United
0 - 0
Scrosoppi FC
SCR
22%
23%
56%
47 29 18 0
09 Jun. 2024
SCR
Scrosoppi FC
4 - 0
Simcoe County Rovers
SIM
48%
23%
29%
45 46 1 +2
26 May. 2024
GUE
Guelph United
1 - 5
Scrosoppi FC
SCR
40%
25%
35%
44 41 3 +1