Burgos vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1979 |
ESP
1 - 0
BUR
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
BUR
0 - 1
ATM
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
SPO
3 - 0
BUR
71%
17%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 0
CEL
61%
23%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
REC
1 - 5
BUR
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1979 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATH
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
UDL
0 - 0
ZAR
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
ZAR
1 - 1
FCB
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
RMA
2 - 1
ZAR
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
RMA
2 - 0
ZAR
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |