Burgos vs Real Sociedad B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
SPB
2 - 3
BUR
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
BUR
1 - 0
BIN
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
BUR
2 - 0
VAL
79%
13%
8%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
COM
2 - 3
BUR
28%
30%
42%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
BUR
2 - 1
SLA
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
RSO
3 - 2
ZAM
52%
29%
19%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
ALA
1 - 0
RSO
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
RSO
2 - 2
FCA
41%
30%
29%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
AND
4 - 3
RSO
56%
26%
18%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
RSO
0 - 3
CDO
70%
21%
9%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |