Burgos vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
54.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1980 |
BET
3 - 1
BUR
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
BUR
0 - 1
ZAR
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
ALM
2 - 0
BUR
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
BUR
0 - 0
FCB
28%
29%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
RAY
5 - 2
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
RMA
2 - 0
HSV
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
RMA
1 - 0
SPO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
RMA
2 - 1
BET
82%
12%
5%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
HER
0 - 0
RMA
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
RMA
2 - 2
RSO
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |