Burgos vs Portugalete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
3.91
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.9%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
BUR
3 - 0
CDP
89%
8%
4%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1955 |
LAU
2 - 1
BUR
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
BUR
5 - 0
CDU
79%
12%
8%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
BSD
1 - 1
BUR
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
BUR
3 - 0
CDG
87%
8%
5%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
BAS
4 - 3
POR
74%
15%
12%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1955 |
POR
1 - 1
BFC
67%
18%
16%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
SDE
2 - 0
POR
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
POR
0 - 1
ARE
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
CLU
2 - 2
POR
62%
19%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |