Burgos vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
49.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 0
BUR
61%
25%
14%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 0
MIR
18%
26%
55%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
IBI
2 - 0
BUR
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 0
UDL
20%
28%
53%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SDA
2 - 2
BUR
49%
28%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 0
GIR
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LEG
1 - 1
LUG
61%
24%
16%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
ZAR
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
LUG
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 2
HUE
20%
26%
55%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |