Burgos vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
20.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
FCB
3 - 0
BUR
85%
11%
5%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
BUR
1 - 1
LLE
84%
11%
6%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
BUR
2 - 2
ATH
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
SLA
3 - 1
BUR
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
ACE
0 - 0
BUR
32%
26%
43%
|
71 | 34 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
HER
0 - 0
SEV
57%
26%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
HER
4 - 1
TAL
77%
15%
9%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 0
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
FCB
1 - 1
HER
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
HER
1 - 0
CON
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | +1 |