Burgos vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
RMA
2 - 0
BUR
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
BUR
3 - 3
UDL
45%
28%
26%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
BET
5 - 1
BUR
56%
27%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
BUR
2 - 1
SPO
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
OVI
1 - 0
BUR
51%
28%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1972 |
UDL
2 - 2
ATM
38%
30%
32%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
ATM
0 - 1
SPO
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
CAS
1 - 1
ATM
27%
30%
43%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
SPA
1 - 2
ATM
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1972 |
ATM
5 - 1
CEL
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |