Burgos vs AD Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
FCB
1 - 0
BUR
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 1
RAY
56%
24%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
VDB
0 - 3
BUR
16%
19%
65%
|
74 | 30 | 44 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
VCF
3 - 1
BUR
68%
19%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 1
ATH
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
ALM
0 - 0
SPO
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
ALM
1 - 1
MOT
91%
7%
2%
|
67 | 27 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
HER
4 - 0
ALM
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
ALM
0 - 0
RSO
38%
28%
33%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
SLA
2 - 1
ALM
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |